Title:
Why Did Obama Win Indiana in 2008? Evaluating Competing Explanations
Name: Jayden Doyle
School: Auburn University at Montgomery
Left Column:
Research Question: Why did Obama win Indiana in 2008?
What Happened: Indiana was a Republican-leaning state and had not voted Democratic in decades, making this outcome unexpected
Why This Matters: Tests voting behavior theories and explains deviations from historical patterns
Dependent Variable: Obama winning Indiana in 2008, measured as a Democratic victory
Middle Column:
Campaign Appearances (Hill et al. 2010)
H1: If Obama made more campaign appearances in Indiana than McCain in 2008, then Obama would be more likely to win Indiana
Field Offices (Masket 2009)
H2: If Obama had more campaign field offices in Indiana than McCain in 2008, then Obama would be more likely to win Indiana
Economic Voting (Abramowitz 2008)
H3: If George W. Bush was serving his second term and both approval rating and GDP growth were declining in 2008, then Obama would be more likely to win Indiana
Research Design: Single-case study comparing three explanations using measurable indicators
Right Column (Evidence):
Campaign Appearances: Obama 8 visits, McCain 2 visits, limited support
Field Offices: Obama 44 offices with statewide presence, McCain significantly fewer, moderate support
Economic Conditions: GDP declined and approval dropped to around 28%, strong support
Conclusion:
Economic conditions provide the strongest explanation, field offices moderate, appearances limited
Sources: Abramowitz (2008), Masket (2009), Hill et al. (2010), BEA, Gallup, NPR, NYT
The poster should be visually clean, easy to read from a distance, and include simple charts for the three evidence sections. I am going to attach my final presentation so you can see my data charts as well. And Ill post the template you should pick from to make it.
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